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Furious_Angel
12-09-2003, 09:39 PM
ok so i got this formula that i think is right (wins +1/2(draws+losses))/sqrt(losses+1) and i think it might be the formula or close to it that seed uses and according to this forula i'm the best ranked on GL server (by far) :p if you think this is right or even close post and vote!

Aro23r
12-09-2003, 09:56 PM
I believe it is something much like, or similiar to this.

(wins + draws) / (losses + draws)

But hey, its just a guess and one that should be utilized...

Furious_Angel
12-09-2003, 10:16 PM
well so far my formula has been correct in every test o to the ranking and test it out itshould come out right if you can do math right

Aro23r
12-09-2003, 10:36 PM
I haven't tested it out, either yours or mine, but does it account for a person with lets say 110 - 0 being better than a person with 109 - 0. Any formula should do this. I haven't tryed them, I'm just asking.

Half-Mad
12-09-2003, 10:37 PM
Originally posted by Furious_Angel
ok so i got this formula that i think is right (wins +1/2(draws+losses))/sqrt(losses+1) and i think it might be the formula or close to it that seed uses and according to this forula i'm the best ranked on GL server (by far) :p if you think this is right or even close post and vote!

It does not work. I put your equation in to Excel, and...
Check ranks 79, 73, 71, etc.
(I started checking at 100, working backwards)

Furious_Angel
12-09-2003, 10:45 PM
well like any formula theres gunna be decimals so it can round and even if it doesnlt come out right its pretty f**kin close either that or you put it in excel wrong

Excession
12-10-2003, 01:43 AM
Since the ranking system doesn't take into account the relative skill/records of the players, does it really matter how it's calculated?

Half-Mad
12-10-2003, 02:23 AM
Originally posted by Furious_Angel
well like any formula theres gunna be decimals so it can round and even if it doesnlt come out right its pretty f**kin close either that or you put it in excel wrong

I came up with a couple formulas that were just as good as the one you offered. None were accurate all the way down the list of the top 100.


Maybe it's wins/losses + x*games played.
x = ?
... just a quick thought. Haven't tried any calculations.

Furious_Angel
12-10-2003, 06:43 AM
you have an aunknown in your formula does that mean your solving for the unknown and the unknown is youre score or your just dont know what it means?? lol

AzN_GuY
12-10-2003, 07:46 AM
i believe the unknown is a factor that he just doesnt know...

Snork
12-10-2003, 09:12 AM
Maybe to make it easier, if you come up with a formula, post some examples to show how it works right away, see if it's accurate.

xyxaxyz2
12-10-2003, 05:45 PM
Ok everyone. A few points:

1. This is my formula.
2. It isn't exactly correct.
3. It is very, very, close, at least on the GL server. You can estimate very well what your ranking would be compared to the people already on the ranking using my formula.
4. I can't post examples because the calculations take too long. I will post point values in my next post.
5. Slightly more accurate results can be found with the formula wins+ ((.4)*loses) + ((.6)*draws) )/(sqrt(loses+1) on the GL server. Those are the numbers I'm going to post.

xyxaxyz2
12-10-2003, 05:50 PM
Point values of ranks in Great Lakes:

1. 57.9589 4 0 128

2. 56.1783 13 0 205

3. 53.4442 6 0 139

4. 52.9998 9 0 164

5. 49.1354 6 1 127

6. 48 0 0 48
S
7. 46.1 3 0 91

8. 42.71 6 1 110

9. 39.7217 2 0 68

10. 39.1759 4 0 86

11. 37.3871 4 0 82

12. 37.2976 4 3 80

13. 37.0524 1 0 52

14. 34.4 8 0 100

15. 34.168 6 0 88

16. 34 0 0 34
S
17. 33.6788 26 1 164

18. 33.7333 8 0 98
[[[[ -0.0545676
19. 33.5169 1 0 47

20. 33.5169 1 0 47

21. 32.0062 12 1 110

22. 31.6627 4 2 68

23. 30.9006 7 1 84

24. 30.6789 4 0 67

25. 30.6 3 0 60

26. 29.6985 1 1 41

27. 29.6985 1 1 41

28. 29.5603 11 0 98

29. 29.6 8 1 85
[[[[ -0.0396662
30. 29.5571 17 6 115

31. 29.2742 1 0 41

32. 28.7333 8 0 83

33. 28.4 8 0 82

34. 27.9307 31 1 145

35. 27.5 15 0 104

36. 27.3935 23 0 125

37. 27.3526 5 0 65

38. 27.0691 9 0 82

39. 27.2 3 2 52
[[[[ -0.130903
40. 26.6539 4 0 58

41. 26.3044 17 3 103

42. 25.7595 4 0 56

43. 25.1724 6 2 63

44. 24.9031 5 0 59

45. 24.7 3 2 47

46. 24.4179 19 1 101

47. 24.3333 8 3 68

48. 24.1615 25 2 112

49. 24 0 0 24
S
50. 23.5559 2 0 40

51. 23.3052 13 0 82

52. 23.3445 4 1 50
[[[[ -0.0393694
53. 22.9333 8 1 65

54. 22.8316 9 1 68

55. 22.4927 10 1 70

56. 22.1818 4 0 48

57. 22.0103 10 0 69

58. 21.9333 8 1 62

59. 21.9219 6 1 55

60. 21.496 1 0 30

61. 21.544 6 1 54
[[[[ -0.0479288
62. 21.4086 39 3 118

63. 21.15 15 1 78

64. 21.0667 8 0 60

65. 20.7889 7 0 56

66. 20.7445 9 0 62

67. 20.6 0 1 20
S
68. 20.5613 6 0 52

69. 20.4667 8 2 57

70. 20.2944 14 0 73

71. 20.0818 7 0 54

72. 20 15 0 74

73. 20.0321 6 1 50
[[[[ -0.0321171
74. 19.9911 13 1 69

75. 19.8409 5 1 46

76. 19.7424 16 0 75

77. 19.799 1 1 27
[[[[ -0.05659
78. 19.7791 10 1 61

79. 19.7773 13 3 67

80. 19.6576 17 1 76

81. 19.6364 12 0 66

82. 19.5144 2 0 33

83. 19.5144 2 0 33

84. 19.4985 4 0 42

85. 19.4985 4 0 42

86. 19.4274 6 0 49

87. 19.4667 8 2 54
[[[[ -0.0392928
88. 19.4454 7 2 51

Explanation: first number for reference. Second is point value. Third is losses. Fourth Draws. Fifth wins.

[[[[ means error. Next to this is the difference between the previous number and the number before the previous number. All others are in correct rank.

Half-Mad
12-10-2003, 05:54 PM
Originally posted by Furious_Angel
ok so i got this formula that i think is right (wins +1/2(draws+losses))/sqrt(losses+1) and i think it might be the formula or close to it that seed uses and according to this forula i'm the best ranked on GL server (by far) :p if you think this is right or even close post and vote!

Been thinking about this, and you, or Xyxaxyz2 may be correct. Xyxaxyz2 has private messaged me a slight alteration to your calculation. Xyxaxyz2's equations is:
wins+ ((.4)*loses) + ((.6)*draws) )/(sqrt(loses+1)
Only a slight modification to yours, Furious.

I imagine that the discrepancies in the calculation could be from people playing the game while the calculations are happening. First, the system calculates the top 100 list, while people are playing, then after getting that list, reads the stats for each of the people in the list, and assigns those stats to the appropriate ranks on the list.
One of the admins mentioned before that calculating the top 100 list can take an hour, with the huge number of players on the system. With newbies ditching games, it's possible to get several games in during that time.

xyxaxyz2
12-10-2003, 05:55 PM
Actually, both are my calculations. :D

AzN_GuY
12-10-2003, 05:56 PM
He's telling the truth.

Furious_Angel
12-10-2003, 11:08 PM
yea xyx how long that take you to calculate all that n stuff?? yo use excel? or some kingd of program?

xyxaxyz2
12-11-2003, 12:47 AM
I made my own program to calculate relationships between wins, losses, and draws. But a lot of it was tedious, non-inspiring guess and check.

Izzard
12-14-2003, 02:42 AM
Originally posted by Aro23r
I believe it is something much like, or similiar to this.

(wins + draws) / (losses + draws)

But hey, its just a guess and one that should be utilized...

you cant use that equation because everyone with zero losses and draws would have undefined rankings

Aro23r
12-14-2003, 03:01 AM
Sorry then, i edit it to this

(wins + draws) / 1+(draws + losses)

And yet again, i really have no idea. Its just an educated guess. Rank is then determined by whoever has the highest ratio.

MasterGolem
12-14-2003, 06:27 AM
maybe its whoever they like best:D

Furious_Angel
12-14-2003, 11:55 AM
i still think that the formula that i posted is pretty close...

and i noticed that the rankings STILL havn't been updated i mean wtf is going on?

ArcPaladinZero
12-15-2003, 09:56 AM
I kinda stopped worrying about the ranking seeing as how some people just cheat the system and end up with 100 wins and no losses... because it is possible

Furious_Angel
12-15-2003, 05:51 PM
number 1 number 1 number 1!!!!!

xyxaxyz2
12-15-2003, 08:16 PM
Anyone want to check my formula and see if it still works? I'll do it myself this weekend.

Furious_Angel
12-21-2003, 01:25 PM
O_o

xyxaxyz2
12-21-2003, 01:26 PM
It isn't over yet.

Furious_Angel
12-21-2003, 06:13 PM
its the end of the beginning and the beginning of the end!!!

WOO JUST GOT BACK FROM RETURN OF THE KING

SO BAD ASS!!!

A.F.I.
01-11-2004, 10:16 AM
mayhap

but aro23r is definatley wrong

if it was yours then why would sum1 that is

500-1-12
be above 60-0-0

Crypt-Lord
01-12-2004, 11:36 AM
Try the new JOKE thread it will realy make you feel good !!
read a good one then leave a good one !!

we realy like blond jokes !!

S_K_O_F
01-12-2004, 06:21 PM
ok...all of you guys finding these formulas...I have 2 things to say...first off WOW!!! you must be really bored
And b. everybody suck up to these guys cuz they are probably gonna be our bosses someday!!!

xyxaxyz2
01-12-2004, 10:52 PM
Bored? Not really...Its fascinating (sort of. At the best of times). Especially since the last part of the formula still eludes me.

I tested the old formula on the new banff scores (not just for its own sake. I has a higher purpose) and it still works well, but still imperfectly.

CthulhuXX
01-13-2004, 12:44 AM
How do you account for lower win percentages being ranked above higher win percentages if not by wins counting for more than losses?

xyxaxyz2
01-13-2004, 04:09 PM
How do you account for lower win percentages being ranked above higher win percentages if not by wins counting for more than losses?

This is accomplished by taking the square root of the losses. That means, the more losses you have, the less they matter.

Actually, thats the basis of my formula: wins/square root losses. I just don't know what specifically is neccesary to get it perfect.

Killer_kev
01-13-2004, 04:31 PM
Originally posted by CthulhuXX
How do you account for lower win percentages being ranked above higher win percentages if not by wins counting for more than losses?
draws

xyxaxyz2
01-13-2004, 04:32 PM
I don't think draws matter so much. I've tried the formula on series of rankings without draws.

CthulhuXX
01-14-2004, 05:40 PM
It can't be draws, i think xyxax's square root theory makes more sense because players with no losses or draws can still be ranked lower.

Which is good because obviously a 10-0-0 player shouldn't be ranked number one.

Furious_Angel
01-21-2004, 10:40 PM
when will TAO tell us how it is done?!

Omega_Paladin
01-21-2004, 10:52 PM
When I change my name to James Bond and I actually feel a chill up my spine when I look at your posts.

Furious_Angel
01-21-2004, 10:53 PM
then look at killer_kev lol

Utamaro
07-21-2004, 10:26 PM
Haha this is a really really old thread so i declare myself the ghost of old threads. :)

xyxaxyz2
07-21-2004, 10:43 PM
Its a useless thread too.

ArcPaladinZero
07-21-2004, 11:05 PM
Well yeah, now it is.